Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.28) 4.21 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 11.0% 51.4%
best score tips
1 - 4
5.4%
2 - 4
5.3%
1 - 3
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al Najaf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Minaa Basra 0 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.3%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.1% 5.4% 4.5%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.3% 4.4%
3 0.3% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 2.9%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl Minaa BasraAl Najaf
Played33
Form33%0%
Attack36%27%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.33 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.76 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Minaa Basra Al Najaf
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%67%100%100%100%

Form: Al Minaa Basra: WLL • Al Najaf: LLL

League goals

Metric Al Minaa Basra Al Najaf
HATHAT
GF total134033
GF avg1.01.51.30.01.51.0
GA total325156
GA avg3.01.01.71.02.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl Minaa BasraAl Najaf
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%100%
1.533%33%33%67%
2.533%33%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl Minaa BasraAl Najaf
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricAl Minaa BasraAl Najaf
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAl Minaa BasraAl Najaf
Wins10
Draws00
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3——
Biggest losses1-31-00-13-2
Goals For1302
Goals Against3113

Model comparison

MetricAl Minaa BasraAl Najaf
Form100%0%
Att57%43%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Najaf and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Minaa Basra = 1.96 (league 1.28), Al Najaf = 4.21 (league 1.07)

Al Najaf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Minaa Basra 0 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.3%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.1% 5.4% 4.5%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.3% 4.4%
3 0.3% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 2.9%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 51.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1