FA Cup — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.60 (league 1.74) 2.06 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 9.7% 9.9%
best score tips
4 - 2
5.1%
4 - 1
4.9%
5 - 2
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
2 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 2.1% 4.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.4% 4.9% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
5 2.2% 4.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHemel Hempstead TownHereford
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack36%27%
Defense91%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 43 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Hereford
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Hemel Hempstead Town: W • Hereford: W

League goals

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Hereford
HATHAT
GF total404033
GF avg4.00.04.00.03.03.0
GA total101022
GA avg1.00.01.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHemel Hempstead TownHereford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHemel Hempstead TownHereford
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHemel Hempstead TownHereford
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHemel Hempstead TownHereford
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1——2-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4003
Goals Against1002

Model comparison

MetricHemel Hempstead TownHereford
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Hemel Hempstead Town and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hemel Hempstead Town = 4.60 (league 1.74), Hereford = 2.06 (league 1.46)

Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
2 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 2.1% 4.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.4% 4.9% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
5 2.2% 4.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 9.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1