Wed, Dec 24 2025 • 11:00 •
Thalay Luang Stadium
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.66)
2.18 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.3% | 20.3% | 55.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.8%
0 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Buriram United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sukhothai FC | 0 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sukhothai FC | Buriram United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 31% | 81% |
| Defense | 75% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sukhothai FC | Buriram United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 29% | 88% | 83% | 86% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 43% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 13% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 17% | 7% |
Form: Sukhothai FC: LWDLDDDWLDWDLW • Buriram United: WWWWWWDWWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Sukhothai FC | Buriram United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sukhothai FC | Buriram United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 79% | 100% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 14% | 93% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 36% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sukhothai FC | Buriram United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sukhothai FC | Buriram United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sukhothai FC | Buriram United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | — | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sukhothai FC | Buriram United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 8% | 92% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Buriram United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sukhothai FC = 1.26 (league 1.66), Buriram United = 2.18 (league 1.24)
| Buriram United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sukhothai FC | 0 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 55.8%
Vtot 2 , Vtod2