Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 17:00 • ArcelorMittal Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.53) 1.97 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 20.6% 36.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Polonia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wieczysta Kraków 0 1.8% 3.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%
1 3.7% 7.3% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.6% 5.0% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWieczysta KrakówPolonia Warszawa
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wieczysta Kraków Polonia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins50%42%45%45%45%45%
Draws30%33%32%18%45%32%
Loses20%25%23%36%9%23%

Form: Wieczysta Kraków: DWWWWDLWDWDLDLLLWDWWWD • Polonia Warszawa: DLWWDLDWDLDLLWWWWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Wieczysta Kraków Polonia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total242347172037
GF avg2.41.92.11.51.81.7
GA total151833171431
GA avg1.51.51.51.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWieczysta KrakówPolonia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%77%86%82%
1.568%45%50%36%
2.532%23%18%9%
3.514%5%9%5%
4.55%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWieczysta KrakówPolonia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets235404
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricWieczysta KrakówPolonia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricWieczysta KrakówPolonia Warszawa
Wins45
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-65-21-4
Biggest losses2-34-21-62-0
Goals For4654
Goals Against3462

Model comparison

MetricWieczysta KrakówPolonia Warszawa
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total55.6%44.4%

Advice: Double chance : Wieczysta Kraków or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ SBO
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away3.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Unibet
No2.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wieczysta Kraków = 2.04 (league 1.53), Polonia Warszawa = 1.97 (league 1.37)

Polonia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wieczysta Kraków 0 1.8% 3.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%
1 3.7% 7.3% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.6% 5.0% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 36.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1