FA Cup — England
Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • Blackwell Meadows
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.76) 3.10 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 16.4% 48.5%
best score tips
2 - 3
6.0%
2 - 2
5.8%
1 - 3
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Fylde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Darlington 1883 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3%
1 1.1% 3.5% 5.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.7%
2 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.9%
3 0.9% 2.7% 4.1% 4.3% 3.3% 2.1%
4 0.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDarlington 1883AFC Fylde
Played22
Form67%67%
Attack50%60%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.56 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Darlington 1883 AFC Fylde
HATHAT
Played022202
Wins—50%50%50%—50%
Draws—50%50%50%—50%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Darlington 1883: WD • AFC Fylde: WD

League goals

Metric Darlington 1883 AFC Fylde
HATHAT
GF total055606
GF avg0.02.52.53.00.03.0
GA total033303
GA avg0.01.51.51.50.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDarlington 1883AFC Fylde
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%50%100%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDarlington 1883AFC Fylde
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricDarlington 1883AFC Fylde
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDarlington 1883AFC Fylde
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-34-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0340
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricDarlington 1883AFC Fylde
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AFC Fylde and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Darlington 1883 = 2.13 (league 1.76), AFC Fylde = 3.10 (league 1.45)

AFC Fylde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Darlington 1883 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3%
1 1.1% 3.5% 5.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.7%
2 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.9%
3 0.9% 2.7% 4.1% 4.3% 3.3% 2.1%
4 0.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 48.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1