FA Cup — England
Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • Edgar Street
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.76) 4.09 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.9% 12.0% 49.5%
best score tips
2 - 4
5.3%
2 - 3
5.1%
1 - 4
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.5% 4.8% 4.9% 4.0%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.8% 5.1% 5.3% 4.3%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.6% 3.7% 3.1%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerefordHemel Hempstead Town
Played22
Form67%67%
Attack50%60%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.56 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 23 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hereford Hemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
Played022202
Wins—50%50%50%—50%
Draws—50%50%50%—50%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Hereford: WD • Hemel Hempstead Town: WD

League goals

Metric Hereford Hemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
GF total055606
GF avg0.02.52.53.00.03.0
GA total044303
GA avg0.02.02.01.50.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerefordHemel Hempstead Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerefordHemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHerefordHemel Hempstead Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHerefordHemel Hempstead Town
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-34-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0340
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricHerefordHemel Hempstead Town
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.6%52.4%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hereford = 2.13 (league 1.76), Hemel Hempstead Town = 4.09 (league 1.47)

Hemel Hempstead Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.5% 4.8% 4.9% 4.0%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.8% 5.1% 5.3% 4.3%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.6% 3.7% 3.1%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.9% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 49.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1