Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 17:00 •
Stade Olympique de Sousse
Expected Goals
4.59 (league 1.31)
2.29 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% |
best score tips
4 - 2
5.0%
5 - 2
4.6%
3 - 2
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Nairobi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ES Sahel | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ES Sahel | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 56% |
| Attack | 50% | 83% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ES Sahel | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: ES Sahel: LWL • Nairobi United: DDW
League goals
| Metric | ES Sahel | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ES Sahel | Nairobi United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ES Sahel | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | ES Sahel | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ES Sahel | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ES Sahel | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nairobi United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ES Sahel = 4.59 (league 1.31), Nairobi United = 2.29 (league 0.87)
| Nairobi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ES Sahel | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 11.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1