Mineiro - 3
— Brazil
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.57)
2.13 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2% | 20.7% | 54.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Essube | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paracatu | 0 | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paracatu | Essube |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 33% |
| Attack | 18% | 18% |
| Defense | 68% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paracatu | Essube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Paracatu: DLWD • Essube: DLWL
League goals
| Metric | Paracatu | Essube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paracatu | Essube | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paracatu | Essube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paracatu | Essube |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paracatu | Essube |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | — | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paracatu | Essube |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Paracatu or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paracatu = 1.28 (league 1.57), Essube = 2.13 (league 1.17)
| Essube | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paracatu | 0 | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 54.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1