Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Junost
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.38) 0.49 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 19.1% 8.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Smorgon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slavia Mozyr 0 8.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.9% 8.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSlavia MozyrSmorgon
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack40%27%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Slavia Mozyr Smorgon
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%58%57%25%18%22%
Draws27%17%22%25%18%22%
Loses18%25%22%50%64%57%

Form: Slavia Mozyr: DWWWWDLLWWWWDDWDWWLWLLW • Smorgon: LLDLLLLWLDLLLLWDDWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Slavia Mozyr Smorgon
HATHAT
GF total1919388917
GF avg1.71.61.70.70.80.7
GA total81523151833
GA avg0.71.31.01.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSlavia MozyrSmorgon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%65%61%78%
1.552%26%9%48%
2.517%9%4%13%
3.59%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSlavia MozyrSmorgon
HATHAT
Clean sheets448325
Failed to score213639

Penalties

MetricSlavia MozyrSmorgon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSlavia MozyrSmorgon
Wins41
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-10-43-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricSlavia MozyrSmorgon
Form46%54%
Att60%40%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h85%15%
Goals73%27%
Total63.3%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Slavia Mozyr or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 888Sport
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away9.85 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Slavia Mozyr = 1.97 (league 1.38), Smorgon = 0.49 (league 1.15)

Smorgon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slavia Mozyr 0 8.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.9% 8.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 8.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1