Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 14:45 • Stadion Neman
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.38) 0.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 28.1% 26.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neman 0 10.6% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.9% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNemanArsenal
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack45%27%
Defense27%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neman Arsenal
HATHAT
Played101121121123
Wins50%45%48%25%18%22%
Draws10%9%10%42%55%48%
Loses40%45%43%33%27%30%

Form: Neman: WLWWLLLWWLWWWDWLLWLLD • Arsenal: DDDLLDLDDLWWWWLDLDDWDDL

League goals

Metric Neman Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total141630111324
GF avg1.41.51.40.91.21.0
GA total91221151429
GA avg0.91.11.01.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNemanArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%71%70%78%
1.543%19%26%26%
2.524%10%9%13%
3.55%0%0%9%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNemanArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets246235
Failed to score347437

Penalties

MetricNemanArsenal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricNemanArsenal
Wins34
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-44-0
Goals For3533
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricNemanArsenal
Form40%60%
Att63%38%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h93%7%
Goals85%15%
Total61.2%39.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Neman or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away5.30 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neman = 1.32 (league 1.38), Arsenal = 0.92 (league 1.17)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neman 0 10.6% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.9% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 26.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1