Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.83 (league 1.59) 0.40 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.1% 1.0% 0.2%
best score tips
5 - 0
11.1%
4 - 0
9.5%
3 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
EC Novo Horizonte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apafut 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.5% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.1% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApafutEC Novo Horizonte
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack64%9%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apafut EC Novo Horizonte
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%33%40%0%0%0%
Draws0%67%40%50%33%40%
Loses50%0%20%50%67%60%

Form: Apafut: WLDWD • EC Novo Horizonte: LDDLL

League goals

Metric Apafut EC Novo Horizonte
HATHAT
GF total527011
GF avg2.50.71.40.00.30.2
GA total31431114
GA avg1.50.30.81.53.72.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApafutEC Novo Horizonte
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%20%80%
1.520%20%0%60%
2.520%0%0%60%
3.520%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApafutEC Novo Horizonte
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricApafutEC Novo Horizonte
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricApafutEC Novo Horizonte
Wins10
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-1——
Biggest losses1-2—0-37-0
Goals For4101
Goals Against2137

Model comparison

MetricApafutEC Novo Horizonte
Form80%20%
Att88%13%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total77.4%22.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Apafut and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.11 @ Bet365
Draw8.90 @ Superbet
Away34.00 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.28 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Apafut = 5.83 (league 1.59), EC Novo Horizonte = 0.40 (league 1.14)

EC Novo Horizonte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apafut 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.5% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.1% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 1.0% · Away win 0.2%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1