Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Telsiai Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.36) 1.42 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 27.2% 50.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0 1 2 3 4 5
Džiugas Telšiai 0 10.7% 15.1% 10.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDžiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack55%100%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Džiugas Telšiai FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
Played141630161430
Wins14%63%40%50%36%43%
Draws36%0%17%31%36%33%
Loses50%38%43%19%29%23%

Form: Džiugas Telšiai: LWWLLWWWLWLLDDDLWLWDLWLWLWLDLW • FK Zalgiris Vilnius: WDDWDLWLLLWLDDDDLWWWLWDWDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Džiugas Telšiai FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
GF total101828212344
GF avg0.71.10.91.31.61.5
GA total161632122234
GA avg1.11.01.10.81.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDžiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris Vilnius
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%80%67%
1.523%27%50%37%
2.53%7%13%10%
3.50%3%3%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDžiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
Clean sheets28107310
Failed to score6410336

Penalties

MetricDžiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDžiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Wins33
Draws34
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-02-4
Biggest losses1-35-02-33-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricDžiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Form35%65%
Att35%65%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total33.5%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FK Zalgiris Vilnius

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away1.92 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Džiugas Telšiai = 0.82 (league 1.36), FK Zalgiris Vilnius = 1.42 (league 1.24)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0 1 2 3 4 5
Džiugas Telšiai 0 10.7% 15.1% 10.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 50.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1