A Lyga — Lithuania
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:25 • LFF stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.43) 0.69 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 30.8% 21.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hegelmann Litauen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 15.5% 10.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK Zalgiris VilniusHegelmann Litauen
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack47%37%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Zalgiris Vilnius Hegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins53%41%47%65%53%59%
Draws29%35%32%18%6%12%
Loses18%24%21%18%41%29%

Form: FK Zalgiris Vilnius: WDDWDLWLLLWLDDDDLWWWLWDWDDWWWWWDWW • Hegelmann Litauen: LWWWWWLWLWLWWWDLWLWWWLWWDLLWWDDLWW

League goals

Metric FK Zalgiris Vilnius Hegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
GF total222850322153
GF avg1.31.61.51.91.21.6
GA total122537172239
GA avg0.71.51.11.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK Zalgiris VilniusHegelmann Litauen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%68%79%62%
1.550%32%44%41%
2.512%9%21%9%
3.53%0%9%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK Zalgiris VilniusHegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
Clean sheets83115813
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricFK Zalgiris VilniusHegelmann Litauen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFK Zalgiris VilniusHegelmann Litauen
Wins55
Draws42
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-45-20-3
Biggest losses2-33-00-24-0
Goals For3454
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricFK Zalgiris VilniusHegelmann Litauen
Form62%38%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h15%85%
Goals40%60%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 188Bet
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away3.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Zalgiris Vilnius = 1.18 (league 1.43), Hegelmann Litauen = 0.69 (league 1.22)

Hegelmann Litauen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 15.5% 10.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1