Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Aukstaitijos Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.43) 1.31 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.1% 26.0% 35.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.4%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panevėžys 0 6.9% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.3% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPanevėžysFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack46%38%
Defense58%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Panevėžys FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%28%37%56%41%49%
Draws6%33%20%28%35%31%
Loses47%39%43%17%24%20%

Form: Panevėžys: LLWDLLWLWDWWDLDWLLLWWWLLWWLDLWDDLWL • FK Zalgiris Vilnius: WDDWDLWLLLWLDDDDLWWWLWDWDDWWWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Panevėžys FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
GF total223153252853
GF avg1.31.71.51.41.61.5
GA total173148132538
GA avg1.01.71.40.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePanevėžysFK Zalgiris Vilnius
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%74%83%69%
1.543%40%51%31%
2.526%20%14%9%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPanevėžysFK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
Clean sheets7298311
Failed to score527336

Penalties

MetricPanevėžysFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricPanevėžysFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Wins35
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-02-4
Biggest losses2-43-02-33-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricPanevėžysFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Form28%72%
Att55%45%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FK Zalgiris Vilnius

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Panevėžys = 1.37 (league 1.43), FK Zalgiris Vilnius = 1.31 (league 1.23)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panevėžys 0 6.9% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.3% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1