A Lyga — Lithuania
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.43) 0.98 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 26.4% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Suduva Marijampole
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hegelmann Litauen 0 8.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHegelmann LitauenSuduva Marijampole
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack29%21%
Defense75%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hegelmann Litauen Suduva Marijampole
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins65%50%57%50%35%43%
Draws18%6%11%39%41%40%
Loses18%44%31%11%24%17%

Form: Hegelmann Litauen: LWWWWWLWLWLWWWDLWLWWWLWWDLLWWDDLWWL • Suduva Marijampole: WWLWWDLDWDWWDWDDDWWDLDLWLWDWDLDDWWD

League goals

Metric Hegelmann Litauen Suduva Marijampole
HATHAT
GF total322254272047
GF avg1.91.21.51.51.21.3
GA total172542161834
GA avg1.01.41.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHegelmann LitauenSuduva Marijampole
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%63%74%57%
1.543%43%40%29%
2.520%11%11%11%
3.59%3%9%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHegelmann LitauenSuduva Marijampole
HATHAT
Clean sheets58138715
Failed to score347369

Penalties

MetricHegelmann LitauenSuduva Marijampole
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricHegelmann LitauenSuduva Marijampole
Wins52
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-33-0
Goals For5444
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricHegelmann LitauenSuduva Marijampole
Form44%56%
Att58%42%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Suduva Marijampole

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ SBO
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 10Bet
No2.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hegelmann Litauen = 1.46 (league 1.43), Suduva Marijampole = 0.98 (league 1.23)

Suduva Marijampole
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hegelmann Litauen 0 8.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1