Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 00:30 • Allianz Parque
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.46) 0.16 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.8% 21.2% 3.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
2 - 0
22.2%
0 - 0
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
LDU de Quito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 16.4% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.2% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalmeirasLDU de Quito
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack82%73%
Defense55%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palmeiras LDU de Quito
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%83%82%83%40%64%
Draws20%0%9%17%20%18%
Loses0%17%9%0%40%18%

Form: Palmeiras: WWWWWWWDWWL • LDU de Quito: DWDWLWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Palmeiras LDU de Quito
HATHAT
GF total12142612416
GF avg2.42.32.42.00.81.5
GA total189055
GA avg0.21.30.80.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalmeirasLDU de Quito
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%64%27%
1.573%27%55%18%
2.545%9%27%0%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalmeirasLDU de Quito
HATHAT
Clean sheets426628
Failed to score112134

Penalties

MetricPalmeirasLDU de Quito
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricPalmeirasLDU de Quito
Wins71
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-43-02-3
Biggest losses—3-0—2-0
Goals For6433
Goals Against1302

Model comparison

MetricPalmeirasLDU de Quito
Form45%55%
Att53%47%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or LDU de Quito

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.21 @ 1xBet
Draw7.00 @ Unibet
Away15.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.53 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Palmeiras = 1.64 (league 1.46), LDU de Quito = 0.16 (league 0.98)

LDU de Quito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 16.4% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.2% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.8% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1