Serie A — Brazil
Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 21:00 • Arena Fonte Nova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.31) 0.76 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 15.6% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.1%
3 - 0
10.0%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia 0 3.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBahiaFortaleza EC
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack42%67%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bahia Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins75%18%45%35%6%21%
Draws19%29%24%18%44%30%
Loses6%53%30%47%50%48%

Form: Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWWLLDLWLWLWWLWLD • Fortaleza EC: WDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLLLLWLWLWLLWDDDD

League goals

Metric Bahia Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
GF total281644201434
GF avg1.80.91.31.20.91.0
GA total112940222951
GA avg0.71.71.21.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBahiaFortaleza EC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%67%64%76%
1.536%33%24%45%
2.512%15%9%18%
3.53%3%3%9%
4.50%3%3%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBahiaFortaleza EC
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311628
Failed to score0667512

Penalties

MetricBahiaFortaleza EC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBahiaFortaleza EC
Wins31
Draws32
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-35-01-2
Biggest losses1-25-10-55-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against3555

Model comparison

MetricBahiaFortaleza EC
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h71%29%
Goals54%46%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Bahia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ Betano
Away6.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Betano
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bahia = 2.48 (league 1.31), Fortaleza EC = 0.76 (league 0.83)

Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia 0 3.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1