Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 21:00 •
Arena Fonte Nova
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.36)
0.73 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7% | 16.2% | 9.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
10.5%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Fortaleza EC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bahia | 0 | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bahia | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 42% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bahia | Fortaleza EC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 75% | 18% | 45% | 35% | 6% | 21% |
| Draws | 19% | 29% | 24% | 18% | 44% | 30% |
| Loses | 6% | 53% | 30% | 47% | 50% | 48% |
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Fortaleza ECWDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLLLLWLWLWLLWDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Bahia | Fortaleza EC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 16 | 44 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 29 | 40 | 22 | 29 | 51 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bahia | Fortaleza EC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 67% | 64% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 33% | 24% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 15% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bahia | Fortaleza EC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bahia | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bahia | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bahia | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ Betano
Away6.10 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ Betano
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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