Serie A — Brazil
Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 00:30 • Arena do Grêmio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.31) 1.43 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 25.4% 38.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vasco DA Gama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gremio 0 6.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.4% 12.0% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGremioVasco DA Gama
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack36%43%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gremio Vasco DA Gama
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins44%18%30%41%31%36%
Draws31%29%30%24%13%18%
Loses25%53%39%35%56%45%

Form: Gremio: WLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDLWDWDLWLWLLD • Vasco DA Gama: WLWLDLLLWLLWLDDLDWLLWDDWWLWWWWLLL

League goals

Metric Gremio Vasco DA Gama
HATHAT
GF total181735262450
GF avg1.11.01.11.51.51.5
GA total133043232649
GA avg0.81.81.31.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGremioVasco DA Gama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%85%70%79%
1.527%27%45%48%
2.512%9%24%21%
3.50%9%6%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGremioVasco DA Gama
HATHAT
Clean sheets415437
Failed to score56115510

Penalties

MetricGremioVasco DA Gama
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total85

Streaks

MetricGremioVasco DA Gama
Wins24
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-6
Biggest losses0-24-01-33-0
Goals For3346
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricGremioVasco DA Gama
Form40%60%
Att45%55%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Superbet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away3.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gremio = 1.35 (league 1.31), Vasco DA Gama = 1.43 (league 0.84)

Vasco DA Gama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gremio 0 6.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.4% 12.0% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 38.9%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1