Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:00 •
Arena Fonte Nova
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.35)
1.30 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 20.7% | 22.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Vasco DA Gama | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bahia | 0 | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bahia | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 40% | 27% |
| Defense | 27% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bahia | Vasco DA Gama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 71% | 18% | 44% | 41% | 29% | 35% |
| Draws | 18% | 29% | 24% | 24% | 12% | 18% |
| Loses | 12% | 53% | 32% | 35% | 59% | 47% |
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League goals
| Metric | Bahia | Vasco DA Gama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 16 | 46 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 29 | 43 | 23 | 28 | 51 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bahia | Vasco DA Gama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 68% | 68% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 35% | 44% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 18% | 24% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bahia | Vasco DA Gama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bahia | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bahia | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bahia | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…