Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 22:30 • Estádio Nilton Santos
Second Half
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.31) 1.43 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 17.6% 19.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.6% 6.5% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.0% 8.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.5% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogoGremio
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack40%35%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo Gremio
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins53%35%44%47%18%32%
Draws29%29%29%29%29%29%
Loses18%35%26%24%53%38%

Form: Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDLWLLWDDWDW • Gremio: WLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDLWDWDLWLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Botafogo Gremio
HATHAT
GF total321547201737
GF avg1.90.91.41.21.01.1
GA total201030133043
GA avg1.20.60.90.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogoGremio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%56%68%82%
1.544%26%29%26%
2.524%6%12%9%
3.59%0%0%9%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogoGremio
HATHAT
Clean sheets6915516
Failed to score410145611

Penalties

MetricBotafogoGremio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total38

Streaks

MetricBotafogoGremio
Wins32
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-53-11-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-24-0
Goals For4533
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricBotafogoGremio
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Botafogo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away5.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo = 2.62 (league 1.31), Gremio = 1.43 (league 0.84)

Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.6% 6.5% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.0% 8.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.5% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 19.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1