Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.31) 1.08 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 27.7% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza EC 0 9.3% 10.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.0% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza ECAtletico-MG
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack67%73%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza EC Atletico-MG
HATHAT
Played171835171835
Wins35%17%26%47%17%31%
Draws18%39%29%47%22%34%
Loses47%44%46%6%61%34%

Form: Fortaleza EC: WDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLLLLWLWLWLLWDDDDWW • Atletico-MG: LDDLWDWWDDWWLLLWDLLLDLWDLWDLWDWWDLD

League goals

Metric Fortaleza EC Atletico-MG
HATHAT
GF total201838251338
GF avg1.21.01.11.50.71.1
GA total223153152540
GA avg1.31.71.50.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza ECAtletico-MG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%74%63%66%
1.526%46%29%37%
2.511%17%14%11%
3.53%9%3%0%
4.53%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza ECAtletico-MG
HATHAT
Clean sheets6398412
Failed to score751231013

Penalties

MetricFortaleza ECAtletico-MG
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFortaleza ECAtletico-MG
Wins12
Draws42
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-33-02-4
Biggest losses0-55-01-33-0
Goals For5334
Goals Against5533

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza ECAtletico-MG
Form53%47%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza EC = 1.29 (league 1.31), Atletico-MG = 1.08 (league 0.84)

Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza EC 0 9.3% 10.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.0% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 31.1%

vtt 6 , vtd1