Serie A — Brazil
Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 22:00 • Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Second Half
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.31) 0.76 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.4% 22.9% 15.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirassol 0 7.9% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 10.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMirassolCeara
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack45%45%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mirassol Ceara
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins65%29%47%41%24%32%
Draws35%35%35%24%29%26%
Loses0%35%18%35%47%41%

Form: Mirassol: LDDWDDLWDWWDWWDWLDWWWDWLDLWWWWDLWD • Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDLLLWDWL

League goals

Metric Mirassol Ceara
HATHAT
GF total361955181432
GF avg2.11.11.61.10.80.9
GA total142034141832
GA avg0.81.21.00.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMirassolCeara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%74%65%68%
1.547%21%26%24%
2.521%6%3%3%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMirassolCeara
HATHAT
Clean sheets5496511
Failed to score1455712

Penalties

MetricMirassolCeara
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricMirassolCeara
Wins41
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-23-01-2
Biggest losses—3-00-23-2
Goals For5332
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMirassolCeara
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mirassol or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away6.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mirassol = 1.77 (league 1.31), Ceara = 0.76 (league 0.84)

Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirassol 0 7.9% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 10.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 15.7%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1