Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 00:30 • Allianz Parque
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.31) 0.71 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.4% 16.7% 9.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fluminense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 4.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalmeirasFluminense
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack22%17%
Defense87%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palmeiras Fluminense
HATHAT
Played181634171734
Wins67%56%62%76%18%47%
Draws22%13%18%6%29%18%
Loses11%31%21%18%53%35%

Form: Palmeiras: DWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWWLDWWLLD • Fluminense: LWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWLWWLWDW

League goals

Metric Palmeiras Fluminense
HATHAT
GF total352358231740
GF avg1.91.41.71.41.01.2
GA total111829112738
GA avg0.61.10.90.61.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalmeirasFluminense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%62%74%62%
1.553%21%38%35%
2.524%3%6%12%
3.512%0%0%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalmeirasFluminense
HATHAT
Clean sheets94138513
Failed to score527279

Penalties

MetricPalmeirasFluminense
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricPalmeirasFluminense
Wins43
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-20-24-2
Goals For5333
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricPalmeirasFluminense
Form41%59%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fluminense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palmeiras = 2.33 (league 1.31), Fluminense = 0.71 (league 0.84)

Fluminense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 4.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.4% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 9.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1