Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 00:30 •
Allianz Parque
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.36)
0.70 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9% | 17.4% | 10.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
11.9%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Fluminense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras | 0 | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 22% | 17% |
| Defense | 87% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 16 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 67% | 56% | 62% | 76% | 18% | 47% |
| Draws | 22% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 29% | 18% |
| Loses | 11% | 31% | 21% | 18% | 53% | 35% |
PalmeirasDWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWWLDWWLLD
FluminenseLWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWLWWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 23 | 58 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 18 | 29 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palmeiras | Fluminense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 62% | 74% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 21% | 38% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 3% | 6% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill
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League standings
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