Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.33) 0.74 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.0% 16.7% 10.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
10.6%
3 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.8% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSao PauloJuventude
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack47%60%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sao Paulo Juventude
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins47%24%35%35%18%26%
Draws24%29%26%24%12%18%
Loses29%47%38%41%71%56%

Form: Sao Paulo: DDDDWDDLWLLLLDWWWWWDWLWLLWLLLWWDLL • Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDDLLLWLLWWD

League goals

Metric Sao Paulo Juventude
HATHAT
GF total221638201232
GF avg1.30.91.11.20.70.9
GA total162339224062
GA avg0.91.41.11.32.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSao PauloJuventude
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%68%59%79%
1.544%35%29%53%
2.53%12%6%29%
3.50%0%0%12%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSao PauloJuventude
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411437
Failed to score57125914

Penalties

MetricSao PauloJuventude
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSao PauloJuventude
Wins52
Draws42
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-36-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricSao PauloJuventude
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sao Paulo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sao Paulo = 2.35 (league 1.33), Juventude = 0.74 (league 0.85)

Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.8% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 10.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1