Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 21:30 • Ilha do Retiro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.30) 1.36 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 25.9% 38.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.0% 12.3% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack33%13%
Defense0%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Recife Vitoria
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins6%6%6%41%6%24%
Draws41%24%32%35%35%35%
Loses53%71%62%24%59%41%

Form: Sport Recife: DLLLLDLLLDLLLDDDWDLLDWLDDLDLLLLLLL • Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWLWWLLWDD

League goals

Metric Sport Recife Vitoria
HATHAT
GF total161127181129
GF avg0.90.60.81.10.60.9
GA total323163153247
GA avg1.91.81.90.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport RecifeVitoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%85%59%71%
1.521%62%24%38%
2.50%26%3%12%
3.50%9%0%6%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256410
Failed to score68145914

Penalties

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
Wins12
Draws33
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-10-1
Biggest losses1-53-01-28-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against5328

Model comparison

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
Form0%100%
Att71%29%
Def19%81%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vitoria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.93 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sport Recife = 1.31 (league 1.30), Vitoria = 1.36 (league 0.84)

Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.0% 12.3% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 38.0%

vtt 9 , vtd1