Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 21:30 • Ilha do Retiro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.35) 1.33 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 26.4% 37.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 7.5% 9.9% 6.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack33%13%
Defense0%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Recife Vitoria
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins6%6%6%41%6%24%
Draws41%24%32%35%35%35%
Loses53%71%62%24%59%41%
Sport RecifeDLLLLDLLLDLLLDDDWDLLDWLDDLDLLLLLLL
VitoriaLLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWLWWLLWDD

League goals

Metric Sport Recife Vitoria
HATHAT
GF total161127181129
GF avg0.90.60.81.10.60.9
GA total323163153247
GA avg1.91.81.90.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport RecifeVitoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%85%59%71%
1.521%62%24%38%
2.50%26%3%12%
3.50%9%0%6%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256410
Failed to score68145914

Penalties

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
Wins12
Draws33
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-10-1
Biggest losses1-53-01-28-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against5328

Model comparison

MetricSport RecifeVitoria
Form0%100%
Att71%29%
Def19%81%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total38.0%62.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.93 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Betano
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League standings

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