Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 00:00 • Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.31) 1.06 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 32.8% 44.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 17.7% 18.7% 9.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 12.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCearaCruzeiro
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack26%53%
Defense68%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ceara Cruzeiro
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins41%22%31%72%35%54%
Draws24%28%26%17%47%31%
Loses35%50%43%11%18%14%

Form: Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDLLLWDWLL • Cruzeiro: WLDWLWWWDWWDWWWDLWLDWWWWLDDDWDWWDDW

League goals

Metric Ceara Cruzeiro
HATHAT
GF total181432331952
GF avg1.10.80.91.81.11.5
GA total142135121325
GA avg0.81.21.00.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCearaCruzeiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%69%74%51%
1.526%26%46%14%
2.53%6%20%6%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCearaCruzeiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets65118917
Failed to score5813279

Penalties

MetricCearaCruzeiro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCearaCruzeiro
Wins14
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-01-23-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricCearaCruzeiro
Form39%61%
Att33%67%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.33 @ Pinnacle
Away2.47 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ceara = 0.67 (league 1.31), Cruzeiro = 1.06 (league 0.83)

Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 17.7% 18.7% 9.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 12.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 44.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1