Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 19:00 • Neo Química Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.30) 0.97 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.6% 34.5% 41.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
19.3%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Botafogo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 19.9% 19.3% 9.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorinthiansBotafogo
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack40%60%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Corinthians Botafogo
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%22%34%56%35%46%
Draws24%28%26%28%29%29%
Loses29%50%40%17%35%26%

Form: Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLLWDWLLDWLWWWLLWL • Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDLWLLWDDWDWW

League goals

Metric Corinthians Botafogo
HATHAT
GF total241438351550
GF avg1.40.81.11.90.91.4
GA total152742221032
GA avg0.91.51.21.20.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorinthiansBotafogo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%69%60%57%
1.520%40%46%29%
2.514%9%26%6%
3.53%3%9%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorinthiansBotafogo
HATHAT
Clean sheets74116915
Failed to score461041014

Penalties

MetricCorinthiansBotafogo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricCorinthiansBotafogo
Wins33
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-00-5
Biggest losses0-24-00-32-0
Goals For4345
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricCorinthiansBotafogo
Form35%65%
Att40%60%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total35.2%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Botafogo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Corinthians = 0.65 (league 1.30), Botafogo = 0.97 (league 0.84)

Botafogo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 19.9% 19.3% 9.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 41.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1