Serie A — Brazil
Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 00:30 • Arena do Grêmio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.30) 1.34 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 27.5% 44.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gremio 0 9.5% 12.7% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.9% 6.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGremioPalmeiras
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack40%20%
Defense47%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gremio Palmeiras
HATHAT
Played171835191635
Wins47%17%31%63%56%60%
Draws29%28%29%26%13%20%
Loses24%56%40%11%31%20%

Form: Gremio: WLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDLWDWDLWLWLLDWL • Palmeiras: DWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWWLDWWLLDD

League goals

Metric Gremio Palmeiras
HATHAT
GF total201939352358
GF avg1.21.11.11.81.41.7
GA total133346111829
GA avg0.81.81.30.61.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGremioPalmeiras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%83%77%60%
1.531%29%51%20%
2.511%11%23%3%
3.50%9%11%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGremioPalmeiras
HATHAT
Clean sheets51610414
Failed to score5611628

Penalties

MetricGremioPalmeiras
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total86

Streaks

MetricGremioPalmeiras
Wins24
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-35-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-23-2
Goals For3353
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricGremioPalmeiras
Form44%56%
Att67%33%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Palmeiras

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away3.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gremio = 1.01 (league 1.30), Palmeiras = 1.34 (league 0.83)

Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gremio 0 9.5% 12.7% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.9% 6.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 44.1%

vtt 4 , vtd1