Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 00:30 •
Arena do Grêmio
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.35)
1.30 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9% | 28.0% | 43.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Palmeiras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gremio | 0 | 10.2% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gremio | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 40% | 20% |
| Defense | 47% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gremio | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 35 |
| Wins | 47% | 17% | 31% | 63% | 56% | 60% |
| Draws | 29% | 28% | 29% | 26% | 13% | 20% |
| Loses | 24% | 56% | 40% | 11% | 31% | 20% |
GremioWLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDLWDWDLWLWLLDWL
PalmeirasDWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWWLDWWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Gremio | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 19 | 39 | 35 | 23 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 33 | 46 | 11 | 18 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gremio | Palmeiras | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 83% | 77% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 29% | 51% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 23% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gremio | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gremio | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gremio | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gremio | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away3.40 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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