Serie A — Brazil
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 22:00 • Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.31) 1.40 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 24.4% 33.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventude 0 5.2% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.1% 11.3% 7.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventudeBahia
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack56%44%
Defense50%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventude Bahia
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins35%17%26%72%18%46%
Draws24%11%17%17%29%23%
Loses41%72%57%11%53%31%

Form: Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDDLLLWLLWWDL • Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWWLLDLWLWLWWLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Juventude Bahia
HATHAT
GF total201333311647
GF avg1.20.70.91.70.91.3
GA total224264142943
GA avg1.32.31.80.81.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventudeBahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%83%66%
1.529%54%37%34%
2.56%29%11%17%
3.50%11%3%3%
4.50%6%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventudeBahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets4379312
Failed to score5914066

Penalties

MetricJuventudeBahia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricJuventudeBahia
Wins23
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-36-02-35-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against3635

Model comparison

MetricJuventudeBahia
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals22%78%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bahia

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.34 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventude = 1.56 (league 1.31), Bahia = 1.40 (league 0.84)

Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventude 0 5.2% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.1% 11.3% 7.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 33.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1