Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 00:30 • Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.31) 0.79 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 26.0% 19.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sport Recife
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 9.9% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantosSport Recife
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack25%30%
Defense65%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.417 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Sport Recife
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins35%17%26%6%6%6%
Draws35%28%31%39%24%31%
Loses29%56%43%56%71%63%

Form: Santos: LDLWLLLDLWLWWLLDWWLLDDWDDLWLDDLLWDD • Sport Recife: DLLLLDLLLDLLLDDDWDLLDWLDDLDLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Santos Sport Recife
HATHAT
GF total181836171128
GF avg1.11.01.00.90.60.8
GA total193150353166
GA avg1.11.71.41.91.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantosSport Recife
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%80%60%86%
1.529%43%20%63%
2.59%11%0%29%
3.50%3%0%9%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantosSport Recife
HATHAT
Clean sheets617325
Failed to score57126814

Penalties

MetricSantosSport Recife
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSantosSport Recife
Wins21
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-31-00-1
Biggest losses0-63-01-53-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against6353

Model comparison

MetricSantosSport Recife
Form100%0%
Att45%55%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h36%64%
Goals44%56%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Santos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Betano
Draw5.75 @ Bet365
Away9.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos = 1.52 (league 1.31), Sport Recife = 0.79 (league 0.83)

Sport Recife
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 9.9% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 19.5%

Vtot 6 , Vtod2