Serie A — Brazil
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 22:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.31) 0.76 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 33.5% 27.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.9%
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Botafogo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 17.9% 13.5% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruzeiroBotafogo
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack67%92%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruzeiro Botafogo
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins72%33%53%56%33%44%
Draws17%50%33%28%33%31%
Loses11%17%14%17%33%25%

Form: Cruzeiro: WLDWLWWWDWWDWWWDLWLDWWWWLDDDWDWWDDWD • Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDLWLLWDDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Cruzeiro Botafogo
HATHAT
GF total332053351752
GF avg1.81.11.51.90.91.4
GA total121426221234
GA avg0.70.80.71.20.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruzeiroBotafogo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%53%61%58%
1.544%14%47%31%
2.519%6%25%6%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruzeiroBotafogo
HATHAT
Clean sheets89176915
Failed to score27941014

Penalties

MetricCruzeiroBotafogo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCruzeiroBotafogo
Wins43
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-00-5
Biggest losses1-23-00-32-0
Goals For4445
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricCruzeiroBotafogo
Form45%55%
Att42%58%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cruzeiro = 0.97 (league 1.31), Botafogo = 0.76 (league 0.83)

Botafogo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 17.9% 13.5% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 27.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1