Serie A — Brazil
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 00:30 • Estádio do Maracanã
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.31) 0.38 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.0% 14.3% 4.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.1%
1 - 0
15.8%
3 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 6.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.8% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengoCeara
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack87%27%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo Ceara
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins72%50%61%39%22%31%
Draws28%22%25%28%28%28%
Loses0%28%14%33%50%42%

Form: Flamengo: DWWWDWLWDWWWLWWWDWWWDWDWDLWWLWDWWLWD • Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDLLLWDWLLD

League goals

Metric Flamengo Ceara
HATHAT
GF total452974191433
GF avg2.51.62.11.10.80.9
GA total81624152136
GA avg0.40.90.70.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengoCeara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%53%64%69%
1.556%14%25%25%
2.531%0%3%6%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengoCeara
HATHAT
Clean sheets125176511
Failed to score2465813

Penalties

MetricFlamengoCeara
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricFlamengoCeara
Wins31
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-01-53-01-2
Biggest losses—2-10-23-0
Goals For8532
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricFlamengoCeara
Form67%33%
Att76%24%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h64%36%
Goals54%46%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Winner : Flamengo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Betano
Draw6.11 @ Pinnacle
Away13.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ SBO
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Flamengo = 2.30 (league 1.31), Ceara = 0.38 (league 0.84)

Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 6.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.8% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.0% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 4.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1