Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 00:30 •
Arena do Grêmio
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.35)
0.84 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 26.8% | 21.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Fluminense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gremio | 0 | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gremio | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 82% | 82% |
| Defense | 27% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gremio | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 50% | 17% | 33% | 78% | 17% | 47% |
| Draws | 28% | 28% | 28% | 6% | 33% | 19% |
| Loses | 22% | 56% | 39% | 17% | 50% | 33% |
GremioWLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDLWDWDLWLWLLDWLW
FluminenseLWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWLWWLWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Gremio | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 19 | 42 | 29 | 17 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 33 | 48 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gremio | Fluminense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 83% | 72% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 31% | 39% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 11% | 8% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gremio | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gremio | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 10 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 10 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gremio | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 6-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gremio | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.57 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Bet365
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League standings
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