Serie A — Brazil
Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 22:30 • Allianz Parque
Halftime
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 1.31) 0.50 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.9% 8.3% 3.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
12.5%
4 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.5% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 6.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalmeirasVitoria
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack25%15%
Defense85%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palmeiras Vitoria
HATHAT
Played171633171633
Wins71%56%64%41%6%24%
Draws18%13%15%35%31%33%
Loses12%31%21%24%63%42%

Form: Palmeiras: DWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWWLDWWLL • Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWLWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Palmeiras Vitoria
HATHAT
GF total352358181129
GF avg2.11.41.81.10.70.9
GA total111829153247
GA avg0.61.10.90.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalmeirasVitoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%61%73%
1.555%21%24%39%
2.524%3%3%12%
3.512%0%0%6%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalmeirasVitoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412639
Failed to score4265813

Penalties

MetricPalmeirasVitoria
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricPalmeirasVitoria
Wins42
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-21-28-0
Goals For5323
Goals Against2328

Model comparison

MetricPalmeirasVitoria
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total64.5%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.85 @ Superbet
Away10.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palmeiras = 3.22 (league 1.31), Vitoria = 0.50 (league 0.83)

Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.5% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 6.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.9% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 3.1%

Vtot 18 , Vtod1