Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 22:30 •
Allianz Parque
Expected Goals
3.11 (league 1.35)
0.49 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.7%
2 - 0
13.2%
4 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Vitoria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras | 0 | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palmeiras | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 25% | 15% |
| Defense | 85% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palmeiras | Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 16 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 71% | 56% | 64% | 41% | 6% | 24% |
| Draws | 18% | 13% | 15% | 35% | 31% | 33% |
| Loses | 12% | 31% | 21% | 24% | 63% | 42% |
PalmeirasDWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWWLDWWLL
VitoriaLLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWLWWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Palmeiras | Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 23 | 58 | 18 | 11 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 18 | 29 | 15 | 32 | 47 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palmeiras | Vitoria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 64% | 61% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 21% | 24% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 3% | 3% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palmeiras | Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palmeiras | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palmeiras | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palmeiras | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.85 @ Superbet
Away10.50 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…