Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Arena MRV
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.31) 1.55 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 23.1% 34.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Vasco DA Gama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.6% 10.2% 7.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico-MGVasco DA Gama
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack24%35%
Defense41%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico-MG Vasco DA Gama
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins44%16%30%42%28%35%
Draws44%21%32%21%11%16%
Loses11%63%38%37%61%49%

Form: Atletico-MG: LDDLWDWWDDWWLLLWDLLLDLWDLWDLWDWWDLDLL • Vasco DA Gama: WLWLDLLLWLLWLDDLDWLLWDDWWLWWWWLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Atletico-MG Vasco DA Gama
HATHAT
GF total251338312455
GF avg1.40.71.01.61.31.5
GA total182644262955
GA avg1.01.41.21.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico-MGVasco DA Gama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%68%65%81%
1.527%38%43%49%
2.514%14%24%19%
3.53%0%8%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico-MGVasco DA Gama
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412437
Failed to score411156713

Penalties

MetricAtletico-MGVasco DA Gama
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAtletico-MGVasco DA Gama
Wins24
Draws22
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-45-10-6
Biggest losses0-33-01-33-0
Goals For3456
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAtletico-MGVasco DA Gama
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.25 @ 188Bet
Away6.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico-MG = 1.71 (league 1.31), Vasco DA Gama = 1.55 (league 0.84)

Vasco DA Gama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.6% 10.2% 7.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 34.4%

vtt 8 , vtd1