Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Nilton Santos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.33) 1.42 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 18.8% 21.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
7.3%
3 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 8.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogoFortaleza EC
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack59%59%
Defense53%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins56%32%43%42%17%30%
Draws28%37%32%16%39%27%
Loses17%32%24%42%44%43%

Form: Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDLWLLWDDWDWWDD • Fortaleza EC: WDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLLLLWLWLWLLWDDDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Botafogo Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
GF total351954231841
GF avg1.91.01.51.21.01.1
GA total221436233154
GA avg1.20.71.01.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogoFortaleza EC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%59%68%73%
1.549%32%27%43%
2.524%5%11%16%
3.58%0%3%8%
4.53%0%3%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogoFortaleza EC
HATHAT
Clean sheets69157310
Failed to score410147512

Penalties

MetricBotafogoFortaleza EC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBotafogoFortaleza EC
Wins31
Draws24
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-55-02-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-55-0
Goals For4553
Goals Against3255

Model comparison

MetricBotafogoFortaleza EC
Form41%59%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Botafogo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ Betano
Away4.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo = 2.43 (league 1.33), Fortaleza EC = 1.42 (league 0.85)

Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 8.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 21.0%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1