Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.30) 1.54 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 25.6% 48.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 7.8% 12.0% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.0% 6.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCearaPalmeiras
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack18%29%
Defense59%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ceara Palmeiras
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins39%21%30%63%56%59%
Draws28%26%27%26%11%19%
Loses33%53%43%11%33%22%

Form: Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDLLLWDWLLDL • Palmeiras: DWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWWLDWWLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Ceara Palmeiras
HATHAT
GF total191433352863
GF avg1.10.70.91.81.61.7
GA total152237112132
GA avg0.81.21.00.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCearaPalmeiras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%70%78%59%
1.524%24%54%22%
2.53%5%24%5%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCearaPalmeiras
HATHAT
Clean sheets651110515
Failed to score5914628

Penalties

MetricCearaPalmeiras
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricCearaPalmeiras
Wins14
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-23-2
Goals For3253
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricCearaPalmeiras
Form44%56%
Att38%63%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total34.8%65.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Palmeiras and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away3.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ceara = 1.01 (league 1.30), Palmeiras = 1.54 (league 0.83)

Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 7.8% 12.0% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.0% 6.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 48.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1