Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Neo Química Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.33) 0.74 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.8% 16.0% 9.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
10.2%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 4.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorinthiansJuventude
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack35%47%
Defense47%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Corinthians Juventude
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins44%21%32%32%17%24%
Draws28%26%27%26%11%19%
Loses28%53%41%42%72%57%

Form: Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLLWDWLLDWLWWWLLWLDL • Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDDLLLWLLWWDLDL

League goals

Metric Corinthians Juventude
HATHAT
GF total261541211334
GF avg1.40.81.11.10.70.9
GA total172946264268
GA avg0.91.51.21.42.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorinthiansJuventude
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%70%59%81%
1.522%43%27%54%
2.514%8%5%30%
3.53%3%0%11%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorinthiansJuventude
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411437
Failed to score46106915

Penalties

MetricCorinthiansJuventude
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricCorinthiansJuventude
Wins32
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-32-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-36-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2436

Model comparison

MetricCorinthiansJuventude
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : Corinthians or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away5.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.84 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Corinthians = 2.43 (league 1.33), Juventude = 0.74 (league 0.85)

Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 4.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1