Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio do Maracanã
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.30) 0.64 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 18.7% 10.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
13.6%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 6.5% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.6% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFluminenseBahia
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack59%47%
Defense88%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fluminense Bahia
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins78%21%49%74%17%46%
Draws6%32%19%16%33%24%
Loses17%47%32%11%50%30%

Form: Fluminense: LWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWLWWLWDWDWW • Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWWLLDLWLWLWWLWLDLWDW

League goals

Metric Fluminense Bahia
HATHAT
GF total291948331750
GF avg1.61.01.31.70.91.4
GA total112839143044
GA avg0.61.51.10.71.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFluminenseBahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%59%84%65%
1.541%32%38%32%
2.58%11%11%16%
3.53%3%3%3%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFluminenseBahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets961510313
Failed to score2810066

Penalties

MetricFluminenseBahia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricFluminenseBahia
Wins33
Draws13
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-22-35-1
Goals For6343
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricFluminenseBahia
Form58%42%
Att56%44%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Fluminense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away4.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fluminense = 2.08 (league 1.30), Bahia = 0.64 (league 0.84)

Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 6.5% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.6% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 10.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1