Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 •
Estádio do Maracanã
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.35)
0.63 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4% | 19.4% | 10.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.4%
1 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Bahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fluminense | 0 | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fluminense | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 59% | 47% |
| Defense | 88% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fluminense | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 19 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 78% | 21% | 49% | 74% | 17% | 46% |
| Draws | 6% | 32% | 19% | 16% | 33% | 24% |
| Loses | 17% | 47% | 32% | 11% | 50% | 30% |
FluminenseLWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWLWWLWDWDWW
BahiaDDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWWLLDLWLWLWWLWLDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Fluminense | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 19 | 48 | 33 | 17 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 28 | 39 | 14 | 30 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fluminense | Bahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 59% | 84% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 32% | 38% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 11% | 11% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fluminense | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fluminense | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fluminense | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fluminense | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away4.70 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.04 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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