Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.30) 1.44 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 27.0% 53.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 11.4% 16.4% 11.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.4% 12.0% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantosCruzeiro
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack53%53%
Defense88%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Cruzeiro
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins39%21%30%68%33%51%
Draws33%26%30%21%50%35%
Loses28%53%41%11%17%14%

Form: Santos: LDLWLLLDLWLWWLLDWWLLDDWDDLWLDDLLWDDWW • Cruzeiro: WLDWLWWWDWWDWWWDLWLDWWWWLDDDWDWWDDWDD

League goals

Metric Santos Cruzeiro
HATHAT
GF total212142352055
GF avg1.21.11.11.81.11.5
GA total193150141428
GA avg1.11.61.40.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantosCruzeiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%76%76%54%
1.532%41%46%16%
2.514%11%19%5%
3.50%3%8%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantosCruzeiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets7298917
Failed to score5712279

Penalties

MetricSantosCruzeiro
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSantosCruzeiro
Wins24
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-63-01-23-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against6323

Model comparison

MetricSantosCruzeiro
Form61%39%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Santos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.72 @ 1xBet
Away9.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Betano
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.49 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos = 0.74 (league 1.30), Cruzeiro = 1.44 (league 0.84)

Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 11.4% 16.4% 11.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.4% 12.0% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 53.5%

vtt 15 , vtd1