Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.31)
0.86 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 27.9% | 24.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sao Paulo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitoria | 0 | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 35% | 29% |
| Defense | 94% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 44% | 11% | 28% | 50% | 22% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 28% | 25% |
| Loses | 22% | 56% | 39% | 28% | 50% | 39% |
Form: Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWLWWLLWDDWW • Sao Paulo: DDDDWDDLWLLLLDWWWWWDWLWLLWLLLWWDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 14 | 34 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 33 | 48 | 17 | 29 | 46 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitoria | Sao Paulo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 69% | 64% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 36% | 44% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 11% | 3% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 8-0 | 1-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 93% | 7% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 59.4% | 40.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Vitoria or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vitoria = 1.35 (league 1.31), Sao Paulo = 0.86 (league 0.83)
| Sao Paulo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitoria | 0 | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 24.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1