Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 •
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.66)
0.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.7% | 40.2% | 2.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.5%
1 - 0
34.8%
2 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Vilaverdense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chaves II | 0 | 38.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chaves II | Vilaverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 17% |
| Attack | 47% | 0% |
| Defense | 74% | 95% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
39%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chaves II | Vilaverdense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Chaves II: WWDWL • Vilaverdense: DL
League goals
| Metric | Chaves II | Vilaverdense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chaves II | Vilaverdense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 0% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chaves II | Vilaverdense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chaves II | Vilaverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chaves II | Vilaverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chaves II | Vilaverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Chaves II and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chaves II = 0.91 (league 1.66), Vilaverdense = 0.05 (league 1.15)
| Vilaverdense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chaves II | 0 | 38.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 40.2% · Away win 2.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1