Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.71) 1.03 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 24.7% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sweden W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spain W 0 7.0% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.7% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpain WSweden W
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack100%69%
Defense63%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spain W Sweden W
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%67%83%67%33%50%
Draws0%0%0%33%67%50%
Loses0%33%17%0%0%0%

Form: Spain W: WLWWWW • Sweden W: WDWDDW

League goals

Metric Spain W Sweden W
HATHAT
GF total1292110313
GF avg4.03.03.53.31.02.2
GA total448426
GA avg1.31.31.31.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpain WSweden W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%83%83%
1.583%33%50%17%
2.567%0%33%0%
3.550%0%17%0%
4.533%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpain WSweden W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricSpain WSweden W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSpain WSweden W
Wins11
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-11-56-11-2
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For7562
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricSpain WSweden W
Form57%43%
Att62%38%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h91%9%
Goals61%39%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Spain W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw6.75 @ Unibet
Away11.25 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spain W = 1.63 (league 1.71), Sweden W = 1.03 (league 1.27)

Sweden W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spain W 0 7.0% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.7% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1