Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Heino Lipp Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.82 (league 2.19) 0.88 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 4.2% 2.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
7.5%
5 - 0
7.3%
4 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Läänemaa Haapsalu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Johvi Phoenix 0 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJohvi PhoenixLäänemaa Haapsalu
Played55
Form67%0%
Attack65%13%
Defense70%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 33 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.420 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

65%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Johvi Phoenix Läänemaa Haapsalu
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins60%60%60%0%14%7%
Draws20%13%17%0%14%7%
Loses20%27%23%100%71%87%

Form: Johvi Phoenix: WLDWDWWWLDDWLLWWWWLWWLWWWLWDWW • Läänemaa Haapsalu: LLDLLLLLWLWLLLDLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Johvi Phoenix Läänemaa Haapsalu
HATHAT
GF total463581101323
GF avg3.12.32.70.60.90.8
GA total2825536047107
GA avg1.91.71.83.83.43.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJohvi PhoenixLäänemaa Haapsalu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%57%97%
1.580%53%13%87%
2.567%23%3%70%
3.520%7%3%47%
4.510%3%0%30%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJohvi PhoenixLäänemaa Haapsalu
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score1237613

Penalties

MetricJohvi PhoenixLäänemaa Haapsalu
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricJohvi PhoenixLäänemaa Haapsalu
Wins41
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-42-4
Biggest losses3-54-20-77-0
Goals For6424
Goals Against5477

Model comparison

MetricJohvi PhoenixLäänemaa Haapsalu
Form100%0%
Att83%17%
Def74%26%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h93%7%
Goals72%28%
Total81.4%18.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Johvi Phoenix and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.07 @ Unibet
Draw16.43 @ Pinnacle
Away41.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.56.15 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 1xBet
No1.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Johvi Phoenix = 4.82 (league 2.19), Läänemaa Haapsalu = 0.88 (league 1.95)

Läänemaa Haapsalu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Johvi Phoenix 0 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 2.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1